Monsoonal Flooding

Monsoonal Flooding
An aerial photo illustrating the extent of monsoonal flooding in 2012. The worst floods in a decade killed dozens and inundated more than 2,000 villages. See http://ahmadalikarim.wordpress.com/2012/07/05/bad-monsoon-floods-hit-assam-india-photos/ for a number of other photos following the 2012 monsoon.

Wednesday, 14 November 2012

Anthropogenic Aerosols and the Indian Monsoon: Observational Research


One of the areas of the world with higher Aerosol concentration is South Asia, due to the recent rapid urbanization and population growth. Ramanathan et al., (2005) suggests the aerosol forcing in over populated regions at the surface and in the atmosphere can be an order of magnitude greater than those of anthropogenic greenhouse gases, as in the case for the Indo-Asian haze. Subsequently concerns have been raised that anthropogenic aerosols are impacting monsoon rainfall and mechanisms. Bollasina and Nigam (2008) have produced some observational research indicating the impacts. Their work is aligned with the vast quantity of other observed research linked to aerosols and the Indian monsoon.

The authors statistically analysed the relationship between distribution and variability of aerosols (derived from Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer) with cloud cover, surface heating, surface shortwave and longwave radiation and monthly precipitation.  The research produced two important conclusions:
1.     Increased anthropogenic aerosols present in May leads to reduced cloud cover and precipitation, increased surface wave radiation, and land surface warming. These changes are attributed to the evaporation of the cloud layer from the absorption of solar radiation by aerosols and subsequent heating of the air – also known as the “semi direct” effect.
2.     As the monsoon progresses, the monsoon intensifies leading to increased rainfall in June and July over India. The authors argue that the enhancement of the monsoon results from the increased thermal contrast (originated in May).
Fundamentally the authors identify that large-scale anthropogenic aerosol influence on monsoon circulation and hydroclimate is mediated by the heating of the land surface, pursuant to reduced cloudiness and precipitation in may.

The following post shall look summate the relationship between aerosols and the Indian monsoon based on models. 



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